Duncan Ray, BSc

Senior Forest Ecologist

Duncan Ray

Email: duncan.ray@forestry.gsi.gov.uk

Tel: +44 (0)300 067 5900
Tel direct: +44 (0)300 067 5977
Fax: +44 (0)131 445 5124

Forest Research
Northern Research Station
Midlothian EH25 9SY

Duncan joined Forest Research in 1982 to study the effects of ground preparation on forest soil water regimes. He helped develop Ecological Site Classification (ESC) producing the first ESC Decision Support System in 2001.  More recently he used ESC to assess the abiotic and biotic impacts of climate change on forests in Britain, and to assess the effect on forest ecosystem service delivery.  

Current role

Project Leader

Developing dynamically coupled models to simulate forest management and ecosystem goods and services provision under climate change adaptation trajectories. Working closely with Forest Districts and Forest Policy discussing simulation results. Developing new decision support system functionality.

Current projects

Studying abiotic factors that may predispose oak trees and woodlands to stress in the THAPBI funded project PuRpOsE (Protecting Oak Ecosystems) to understand threats to oak woodlands.

Affiliations and responsibilities

IUFRO Group 4.3.3
Work Package 8 in EU 7th Framework project Trees4Future

Main recent publications and knowledge exchange activities

Reyer, C.P.O., Bathgate, S., Blennow, K., et al  - including Ray, D., (2017) Are forest disturbances amplifying or canceling out climate change-induced productivity changes in European forests? Environmental Research Letters 12:34027. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa5ef1

Beauchamp, K., Bathgate,. Ray, D., and Nicol, B., (2016) Forest ecosystem service delivery under future climate scenarios and adaptation management options: a case study in central Scotland, Scottish Forestry, December 2016.

Ray, D., Sing, L. and Nicol, B., (2016) Agriculture & Forestry Report Card Paper 9: Forest Ecosystem Services and Climate Change

Ray, D.  et al., (2016) Improved prediction of the climate driven outbreaks of Dendrolimus pini in Pinus sylvestris forests. Forestry doi:10.1093/forestry/cpw007

Sing, L., Ray, D., Watts, K., (2016) Ecosyetem Services and Forest Management, Research Note FCRN020, Forestry Commission Research Division, Roslin, Midlothian.

Mitchell, R.J., Beaton, J.K., Bellamy, P.E., Broome, A., Chetcuti, J., Eaton, S., Ray D., et al. (2014) Ash dieback in the UK: A review of the ecological and conservation implications and potential management options. . Biological Conservation, 175, 95-109.

Ray, D., Bathgate, S., Moseley, D., Taylor, P., Nicoll, B., Pizzirani, S. et al. (2014) Comparing the provision of ecosystem services in plantation forests under alternative climate change adaptation management options in Wales. Regional Environmental Change, DOI 10.1007/s10113-014-0644-6.

Petr, M., Boerboom, L.G.J., van-der-Veen, A. and Ray, D. (2014) A spatial and temporal drought risk assessment of three major tree species in Britain using probabilistic climate change projections. Climatic Change, 124 (4), 791-803.

Petr, M., Boerboom, L.G.J., Ray, D. and van-der-Veen, A. (2014) An Uncertainty Assessment Framework for Forest Planning Adaptation to Climate Change. Forest Policy and Economics, 41 (c), 1-11.

Xenakis, G., Ray, D. and Mencuccini, M., (2011) Effects of climate and site characteristics on Scots pine growth. European Journal of Forest Research, DOI 10.1007/s10342-011-0516-2: 13pp.

Tene, A. Tobin, B., Dyckmans, J., Ray, D., Black, K., Niewenhuis, M. (2011) Assessment of tree response to drought: validation of a methodology to identify and test proxies for monitoring past environmental changes in trees. Tree Physiology, 31(3): 309-322.

Ray, D., Xenakis, G., Tene, A. and Black, K., 2010. Developing a site classification system to assess the impact of climate change on species selection in Ireland. Irish Forestry, 66(1&2): 101-122.

Ray, D., Xenakis, G., Tene, A. and Black, K., 2010. Developing a site classification system to assess the impact of climate change on species selection in Ireland. Irish Forestry, 66(1&2): 101-122.

Ray, D., Morison, J. and Broadmeadow, M., 2010. Climate change: impacts and adaptation in England's woodlands. Forestry Commission Research Note (FCRN201). Forestry Commission Edinburgh.